Friday, December 28, 2007

Gaining: CBAK, FRPT

As mentioned in previous posts, we recently acquired CBAK and FRPT and both are performing very well for us. Since picking up a few shares of FRPT at $4.05 we see the producer of mine resistant vehicles holding steady:
We may continue to accumulate if we see a nice dip before January 1st. Foreign orders and Cheetah updates could propel this stock higher.
CBAK saw a nice pop today and then settled lower at the close. Our entry point here was averaged at $4.05 also:
We will hold both stocks going into the new year.
Also: Sold off ONNN @9.oo today for small gain.

Thursday, December 20, 2007

FRPT: Buy On Panic?


FRPT is a stock I've kept my distance from ever since it fell below th $18 mark. The big boys started winning a bigger percentage of military contracts for vehicles and the shorts swarmed. But today, after again getting the short share of a total $2.6 billion in government spending, FRPT simply got bloodied up and my gut just told me to pick some shares up. I started a position at $4.05 and the price rose steadily through the day and closed at $4.93. We shall see how the story continues to unfold on Thursday. For now, a quick gut decision has made a small profit.
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Monday, December 17, 2007

The Case for ONNN

ON Semiconductor (ONNN) came into my sights when I visited my brother in Scottsdale, AZ in November. In Phoenix they have a pretty nice looking facility I later discovered was HQ and when I saw their name on the building I made a mental note to check the stock upon my return home. So what do these guys do?
The answer: Power solutions and semiconductor devices. This you may already know. But let's look at some their customers. This was the big eye-opener for me. How about names like Apple, HP, Bosch, Delphi, Cisco, Dell, Honeywell, Intel, Motorola, Nokia, and Samsung just to name a few. They have a global logistics network in place to meet these demands. So how are they doing?
Lets look at Net Income.

PERIOD ENDING
31-Dec-0631-Dec-0531-Dec-04

Net Income272,100 100,600 (123,700)

Pretty nice trend here. So why is the stock getting beat down of late?
Quarter 3 for ONNN didn't meet analyst estimates as there was a decline over last year same period and for the second quarter in a row. Add to this the overall sentiment of the markets lately and ONNN has certainly taken its lumps. So why am I enticed even though there is a chance that ONNN may not meet last years income numbers?
ONNN has just announced that they have agreed to purchase Amis Holdings. Amis supplies integrated circuits for the Auto and Medical fields. While the premium paid for Amis is a bit high, and the work to be done on Amis's low margins need some work, I like that ONNN is expanding their horizons and finding new revenue streams. With the lowest PE among their competitors I like ONNN to return to $11/share very soon.. I will be buying on every dip.

Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Fed throws the brakes on December rally


Did anyone jump off this cliff today? I'm sure most investors sure felt like it. Looks like some nice jagged rocks on the bottom to ease the decent as well. Well, after a nice 300 point free fall into the red abyss, I do as most investors do after the heart rate returns to normal: Put things in perspective. No the Fed did not make us feel nice and warm and feeling good about our economy leading into the holiday season. What the Fed did do however was gift wrap a big buying opportunity for the smart investor who realized a half percent rate cut was not coming. The investor who took a little off the table and has a little cash on the side for such an opportunity just got Christmas a little early this year.

Tuesday, December 4, 2007

Stocks to Watch: CBAK, VSR, ONNN, CC

Hope everyone is making money today.
Retailers are expected to release their numbers this week. Will it be a profitable holiday season? It's a sector I'm truly going to stay away from. Except for maybe Circuit City. I've always thought they had much better deals than Best Buy and I have to think I'm not the only one that sees that. Here's a retailer that has fallen this year from $25 to the $6 range and I see this moving up a point or two easy through the holiday run up.
I've recently started small positions in the following:
CBAK- Two new production lines now complete. They are rumored to be for supplying HP, but maybe there is a nice surprise in the coming weeks. This company has recently made moves for big growth in 2008.
VSR- Way oversold and tremendous backlog.
ONNN- Should rebound after getting beat down last 2 months.